Think of how much time we’ve just all spent, in thinking about the way in which services will be mostly put out for competitive tendering in the National Health Service. One of the first rules in law is that you fight your battles to the hilt, but, at first, you pick the right battles first. This is precisely what Labour appears not to have done. When Harriet Harman recently said on Question Time that the Conservatives are definitely not ‘to be trusted with the NHS’, Harriet curiously did not refer to the battle and war just won by the Conservatives (and Liberal Democrats) over NHS procurement. And yet the public desperately want Labour to stand up for the NHS. One member even suggested that, if Labour gave its unequivocal backing for restoring the NHS, Labour could even find itself with a massive vote winner.
Labour is clearly going through policy strands with a fine tooth comb, looking at, for example, the way in which multinational companies might employ workers at below the national minimum wage; effectively, controlling immigration through a wage policy. It does not appear to have worked out unequivocally whether it would reduce the rate of VAT, meaning possibly that the state borrowing requirement would temporarily increase. But do you see what they all did there? For days, weeks, or even months, we have been subjected to a relentless debate about EU immigration, when most surveys probably place the issue at number ten on the list of voters’ concerns. Unsurprisingly, the economy remains in ‘pole position’, but the ability of Labour to turn the opinion of the public, particularly in the South of England, away from the idea that Labour is ‘fiscally incontinent’ remains unconvincing. Labour is still considered to be the “tax and spend” party, for example, and Miliband appears painfully aware of that. So, when it comes to policy, there seems to be an odd combination of Labour shooting itself in the foot, or completely picking the wrong battles. And then you add in a complete inability to look at elephants in the room. Labour, to state the obvious, has no ability to implement any of its policies, if it is unable to win a General Election, and the confidence of Labour to win an election on its own is reflected accurately in Lord Adonis promoting his book that ‘if he were to form a new Lib-Lab pact, he wouldn’t start from here.‘
The NHS remains pivotal in Labour’s electoral chances, and Labour has been unable to use the resentment over the section 75 NHS regulations to maximise political capital. Why this should have happened in itself is interesting, as Andy Burnham, MP for Leigh, is a more than capable Shadow Secretary of State for Health. One of the issues is an ability to choose the right battle, possibly. Burnham, with some support from the right-wing media and thinktanks, has been banging on about integrated and whole-person care. Whether through conspiracy or cock-up, there will be short-term interest in how integrated care might be delivered. Think about a justification for State spending in the ‘mission impossible’ of implementing a NHS IT system. Why on earth would a right-wing libertarian government promote something which is national? Why on earth should you abort an ethos of ‘bonfire of the QUANGOs’ to introduce the biggest QUANGO in the country, viz NHS England? Whether you’re into conspiracy or cock-up, the integration of financial and medical information (including mental, physical and social care systems) allows for the perfect infrastructure for an insurance-based system. Insurance works on the basis of misrepresentation or non-disclosure to invalidate claims, so ‘big data’ serve a perfect storm for this. It won’t have escaped anybody’s attention that Labour (as indeed the Conservative Party) has been heading towards an insurance-based system for social care, so it does not require a massive ideological leap to think how this could be extended for all care with time. This does not involve any degree of paranoia, please note.
There is overwhelmingly an intellectual depravity in the bereft notion of producing policy through poll results and focus groups. New Labour clearly loved focus groups, with Philip Gould in ‘The Unfinished Revolution’ having devoted much airspace to developing a product in line with customers’ wishes. Of course, the Conservatives have a special affinity for polling organisations themselves, Nadhim Zadawi, in 2000 he co-founded YouGov and on its flotation became its CEO. YouGov is now one of the world leaders in political and business information gathering, polling and analysis. It employs over 400 staff on three continents and is listed on the London Stock Exchange. Again – it begs the question on why should Labour should wish to outdo the Conservatives on its own ability to use polling data? One of the polls which has become a toxic meme is how a high proportion of all voters would not mind who provides the NHS services, as long as it’s free at the point of use. However, this is intrinsically linked to other questions. Would you be prepared more in national insurance if it meant the NHS were able to provide a more comprehensive (universal) service?
It is indeed correct to state that the costs of renationalising the NHS might be overwhelming, although no accurate costings of this have ever been discussed properly. We do know, however, that the current cost of the NHS reorganisation is in the region of £3bn, but estimates of the actual cost inevitably have to be taken with a pinch of salt, as say the cost of Margaret Thatcher’s funeral. But to use this issue as a wish to stop discussion of this area is lazy, as one of the issues, as indeed as with Thatcher’s funeral, is that is this a sensible use of money compared to how it could be used elsewhere (so called “opportunity cost“)? Some people argue that the marketisation of the NHS has failed, in that any money spent on restoring a state-funded NHS would be money well spent. Restoring a state-funded service would get out of the idea of private companies being driven by maximising their profit margin, and not running a ‘more for less’ approach for delivering a service. Cynics might argue that the cost of restoring a state-run service is peanuts compared to waging a war abroad. Many remain unconvinced about the mantra that economic competition drives up quality, when it is the professional standards of healthcare staff, including doctors, nurses and allied health professionals, which appear to be at the heart of quality. The debate we have just had about the mode of procurement in the NHS was not one any of us as such elected; in other words, it has no mandate. If the Conservatives and the right-wing media appear so pre-occupied about having a referendum next parliament on our membership of the EU, many are (rightly) asking why Ed Miliband cannot ask for a mandate to take sensible decisions about the nature of the NHS. It is a given that there will always be a proportion of services which are outsourced to the private sector, but the question should be ‘how much’. Whilst a full-blown privatisation of the NHS has not happened yet, we have not even had a discussion of how much of the NHS should be outsourced.
And anyway Labour has to ask what really concerns all voters? In Mid Staffs and Cumbria, it is reported that there have been concerns about patient safety, and it may be mere coincidence that Labour failed to convince the voters in both places in the local elections over their offerings. However, there is certainly a ‘debate to be had’, about whether “efficiency savings” in the NHS are justified to produce surpluses in the NHS which get ploughed back into the Treasury (and therefore might be used for international overseas aid rather than frontline care.) Labour equally seems unable to look another ‘white elephant’ in the eye. That is of course the concept of a NHS hospital going bust. Should a NHS Trust which is in financial difficulty be simply allowed to go insolvent after a period of administration, or should the State pump money into it to maintain a local service to people in the community? This requires a fundamental reappraisal of how important “solidarity” and “social democracy” are, in fact, to Labour, and whether it wishes to use its extensive brand loyalty to have a mature, if sobering, discussion of the extent to which it wishes to fund a SOCIALIST National Health Service. Whilst in extremis it can be argued that a nostalgic return to ‘The Spirit of ’45” is not attainable, and is the wrong solution for the wrong times, there is a genuine perception that Labour has lost sight of its founding values. And why has this not been addressed in focus groups? It is well known that, in marketing, if you ask the wrong questions, you ubiquitously get the wrong answers.
Labour needs a mandate to confront these issues. And it should not be afraid to look for a resounding mandate, either. Whilst it might stick its fingers in its ears, and claim it’s nothing to do with them (arguing instead for integrated, “whole person” care), unless these ideological issues are confronted, NHS policy will continue to go down a right-wing path. For example, there is not much further to see GP ‘businesses’ being offered by the private sector, and the NHS pays for them; in this model, GP ‘businesses’ could operate under a standard 5-year contract, using NHS branding, under a ‘franchising’ model like Subway. And “The Tony Blair Dictum” is far from resolved, although currently there are issues more worthy of ‘firefighting’ in service delivery, such as the fiasco over ‘1111’. Labour’s problem is that it does not see the NHS as a ‘vote winner’, in the same way it doesn’t see the plight of disabled citizens experiencing difficulty with their benefits or people feeling genuinely threatened by ‘the bedroom tax’ as a top priority. Whilst Labour is unable to prioritise its issues in a way to align its aspirations with the concerns of the general public, there is no way on Earth it can hope to govern a convincing majority. If Labour wishes to learn a really useful trick from marketing, it could no better than to look at the ‘GAP analysis’ – looking at what the current situation is, and what the expectations of people are, and thinking how to get to a position of what people want. If people actually want a socialist universal, comprehensive NHS, paid for not in a private insurance system, Labour can be expected to work hard for a mandate to deliver this. If it doesn’t, that’s another matter, and it can witter on about whole-person care to its heart’s content.
