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The Liberal Democrats' demise is now totally malignant



Remember this? (Actually from the Conservative Home website currently.)

Long-term benefit claimants could be forced to do manual labour under proposals to be outlined by Work and Pensions Secretary, Iain Duncan Smith. Duncan-Smith is due to outline plans for four-week placements doing jobs like gardening and litter clearing. He has apparently signalled that the message will be: “Play ball or it’s going to be difficult.”

This seems like a return to workhouses, last left behind in the Victorian times, along with the last vestiges of venture philanthropism, aka the new Big Society. Social engineering through the back door, some might say.

It now is crystal clear that the Conservatives are using the cuts as a thinly-disguised veil to introduce ideologically and driven cuts which are offensive to a majority of English people who didn’t vote for them. And what is even more disgusting is that they are allowing the Liberal Democrats to bear the brunt of this unpopularity, while the Conservatives are still sky-high in the polls, Nick Clegg says nothing (an old adage is ‘silence is agreement’), the Liberal Democrat activists don’t appear to agree with the substance of what is, after all, a Conservative party. Only a complete fool doesn’t now understand the gravity of the Lib Dems’ situation – how they have utterly sold out.

Mind the Tax Gap! by Kerry Fairless



Many thanks to Kerry Fairless who is the guest writer of this blog post.

Those of you who have the pleasure of one my rants will be aware of the Missing Billions. Those that haven’t read on.

The main revenue collecting method used by Government is via the taxation system. It’s a complex system based on earnings and relief. Many people (you and I) pay our tax through Pay As You Earn (PAYE). This is deducted from source by the employer who then pays HMRC what is due. For people like you and I, we pay our dues. We have no choice in the matter.

For others there are other systems such as Self Assessment (SA) where the individual is responsible for payment of tax directly to HMRC; this usually involves the use of an accountant. Of course for this group of people there is a choice about to declare, how to argue reliefs and business usage. Some make mistakes, some intentionally defraud.

Businesses of course pay different types of tax, the most obvious being Value Added Tax (VAT). Much like SA, accountants are usually required and there is a plethora of complicated legislation to follow. Again, this system involves mistakes, error and intentional avoidance.

You would think that HMRC would like everyone to be paying the right amount of tax, on time. For those that can’t pay there is a Debt Management process whereby members of DMB attempt to collect backdated, unpaid taxes and over payments of Tax Credits.

Of course, thanks to the slashing of 25000 jobs there aren’t as many of us as there used to be. And thanks to reduced budgets our computer systems aren’t as robust as they should be. This recently has resulted in mayhem of the over and under payment of PAYE where the computer system combined with the lack of staff has lead to a massive amount of errors and individuals being left with hefty bills to pay. This was avoidable if the correct number of resources had been employed and a properly tested, flexible computer system had been employed. This was something PCS negotiators told the Department 3 years ago, but as usual they believed they knew best. Maybe they should be saying “sorry” to the millions effected for not listening to us. I wont, however, hold my breath.

The Tax Gap is made up of the amount of money HMRC collects through tax compared to the amount of money HMRC could collect through tax. Present estimates have this figure as between £42bn (HMRC’s figure – which does not include £28bn in written off and uncollected debt) and £123bn (PCS’s figure based on independent research by Richard Murphy). So, whatever way you look at it, we can guarantee there is a minimum of £70bn out there that should be going to pay for public services, reducing the deficit.

This money is made up by those who…….

a. avoid pay tax by illegal methods
b. evade paying tax by making errors
c. use tax havens such as the Turks and Caicos islands

These people and businesses do not fully contribute to the running of the country, yet continue to reap the benefits of living here and using services provided by those of us who do pay our fair share in tax.

As you will no doubt know, the Chancellor announced his Comprehensive Spending Review (CSR). This will have a detrimental effect on everyone be it through services no longer being provided, reduced welfare, higher unemployment, poorer education and poorer health as billions of pounds will be cut from budgets.

There is an alternative, collect those Missing Billions.

Now for the mathematics part….

The below table is based on the PCS figure and the HMRC figure, the population estimates are taken from wikipedia. The Compliance Officer figure is taken from a Parliamentary Question tabled a couple of years that identified that everyone in Compliance makes £658k a year clear profit (ie, salaries and overheads are already taken off).

If you divide the tax gap figure by the population, you will see how much each person in the country would need to pay to clear the tax gap. By PCS estimates its £1983 and by HMRC figures it is £677. If you then multiply those figures by the population of the town (and of course this is just Southend, it doesn’t include places such as Benfleet, Rayleigh etc) you will identify how much the tax gap is locally. Take that figure and divide it by the $658k a Compliance Officer can collect and you will identify how many additional people it would take to collect that money. This of course does not include any of the processing staff or contact centre staff who would need to be employed in the back office to ensure payments are processed and queries dealt with.

So, at a time where we are facing a 15% cut in staff, we should in fact being looking at an increase of somewhere between 169 and 495 in Southend and as many as 186930 nationwide.

PCS Tax Gap Figure £123billion R&C Tax Gap Figure £42billion
population 62041708 population 62041708
per head £1983 per head £677
Southend 164300 Southend 164300
Tax Gap Southend £325.7m Tax Gap Southend £111.2m
compliance officer £658000 compliance officer £658000
additional jobs Southend 495 additional jobs Southend 169
additional jobs UK 186930 additional jobs UK 63830

Whilst the Government continue to cut jobs from HMRC, the Tax Gap will continue to grow. The entire basis of the CSR is to reduce the national deficit by cutting. The alternative is to properly invest in HMRC and collect the Missing Billions.

The Tax Justice Campaign has been running for several years now. Foreign media are very interested in it, some MPs are very interested in but the UK media does not want to publish this national scandal. Ask yourselves why. Look at who owns the national media, look where they bank, see how much tax they pay!

Write to your MP now and ask why the Missing Billions is not being collected.

Reaction to the cabinet



I think Margaret Beckett MP summed it up best with her word – Interesting.

The new Shadow Cabinet offers a fresh start for Labour, which members of the Party, like me, should feel very proud about, I would humbly submit. Instead of paid-for members like Warsi, we have a wide-ranging Shadow Cabinet to be revealed of many talents. You wouldn’t expect Ed Miliband MP, the Leader of Her Majesty’s Opposition, to pick a lot of randoms from his nearest primary school (in fact, in Haverstock Hill, Hampstead, where I attended his hustings). He has clearly described that he wants a new generation of ideas, which, as a full member of the Fabian Society, Progress and Compass, I can say we are fully developing at the moment. These are critical times for the Labour Party. We cannot rely on the unpopularity of the cuts; they are bound to be unpopular. However, we shouldn’t let the Tories and Liberal Democrats steal our clothes of ‘fairness’, especially when there is considerable objective evidence that their economic policies are not fair.

The actual choice was very much not to my liking. OK, the top jobs went to Ed Balls MP or Ed Balls supporters, but the placing of Alan Johnson MPas Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer, and, let’s face it, a daft choice and a gift to the Tories. I like him enormously as a person, but, on the basis of meritocracy rather than ill-founded egalitarianism, one of the principal favourites with outstanding degrees actually in economics should have awarded this crucial post. However, the fact that he is in this post is important for the David Miliband MP supporters, given how many of David’s preferred cabinets appear to have emerged in the Shadow Cabinet elections. I have no doubt, however, that Alan Johnson will be able to put in a combative performance on the 21st October 2010 for the comprehensive spending review.

I sincerely hope that John Healey MP makes some mark in health, because he was virtually non-existent in housing, his previous post. I am hoping that his many supporters know something that I don’t know; and, yes, housing was one of those issues (like immigration) that helped Labour to lose the election. Moving Andy Burnham MP to education, however, is a sensible move for him, as he will not wish to be compartmentalised as a one-agenda band (i.e. health), should he (and many people hope that he) decide to stand for Leader again. Personally, I would have liked to see Hillary Benn MP awarded with a much more senior position, but the one that he has been given may be one entirely of his own volition. Finally, Yvette Cooper MP as the Shadow Foreign Secretary is no less than she deserves, as we all know she is a likely future leader of our Party possibly.

I think the reshuffle works, but only just.

On Ed Balls.



How’s the coalition doing these days? Well, considering. Cameron seems confident, and ‘on top of his game’ at the moment. He has a clear idea of how he can lead the country as well as his Party, which is no mean feat. Meanwhile, Labour seems to go on with its neverending shambles which is the leadership election, with Ed Balls revealing today that he disagreed with Gordon Brown and how he could now work with the Liberal Democrats.”

Here is Ed’s latest account of where things went wrong with him at the helm: Indy article

Gordon Brown fudged Labour message, says Ed Balls

“I could have chosen to have broken away in an emphatic and decisive way from Gordon in the last few years, and I didn’t,” he told the BBC Radio 4 Today programme.”

Why not? Of course, the traditional arguments are ‘collective responsibility’ and ‘loyalty’, but this admission goes to the heart of how exactly decisions were made in Gordon Brown’s government. The impression that, “If Gordon didn’t like it, tough”, seems to be getting stronger and stronger everyday, with the publication of a new set of political memoirs (e.g. “The Third Man”, or “The Journey”).

“I disagreed strongly with Gordon on the 10p tax rate cut, I thought we should have gone for the election in 2007, I felt that he trimmed and fudged his message to try to keep the Daily Mail happy in a way which meant that people didn’t know where we stood. I said that to him many times.”

Well, there’s disagreement and there’s disagreement isn’t there? As a junior member of the Fabians, I believe strongly that Labour government under both Blair and Brown screwed up on poverty. Poverty and inequality aren’t even mentioned in Blair’s index. Whatever your views on capital gains tax and corporation tax, the issue about the 10p tax (and the top rate of tax) still raises more questions than answers.

So, whilst Kerry is right to emphasise our achievements, we still have a lot of soul-searching to do. For what it’s worth, I don’t feel Ed Balls MP is the right man at the right time. He wasn’t then, and he isn’t now.

Meanwhile, Guido Fawkes has revealed interesting information about Ed Ball’s leadership chances from his research.

39% of Guido’s Readers Want Ed Balls to Lead Labour Party

Here are Guido’s findings.

“Ed Balls liked to tell the hustings that he was the one the Tories feared most, hence the attacks on him from the right-wing media. Guido takes the opposite view, he is the one that opponents of the Labour Party most badly want to win the Labour leadership because he would be as disastrous as his mentor was for Labour. Today”

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