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Drop the Bill – HM Government must publish the Risk Register



 

In November 2011, as described in the GP magazine, the Information Commission ruled that the Department of Health breached the Freedom of Information Act by failing to provide a copy of the risk register requested by former shadow health secretary John Healey. The Department of Health’s response to why they would not wish to publish the Risk Register is provided in this blog article. The analysis provided in this letter is markedly at odds with Andrew Lansley’s own headline of an article published in the Guardian in 2010 here: “An open, transparent NHS is a safer NHS”.

In ‘Any Questions’ on Friday evening, Tim Farron himself discussed the improvements in the Bill which had resulted as a result of the Liberal Democrats’ intervention, citing the influence of Shirley Williams and Paddy Ashdown, and explained that he was not in favour of marketisation of the NHS. He further explained that he wished for stability, and did not wish for ‘doctors and nurses to be mucked around by politicians’. Indeed, Nick Clegg has previously provided that the intervention in the NHS legislative process is a victory for the Liberal Democrats in the democratic process.

Neil Foster on the highly influential ‘Liberal Conspiracy’ website has written as follows:

Many Coalition MPs and Ministers will be wondering how they can save face and pull back at this late stage.

There is one way: publish the Department of Health’s Risk Register. The unpublished advice and projections in the Risk Register are likely to reveal an array of unknowns and significant potential for spiralling costs and deterioration of patient care.

If not, then why is the Health Secretary so keen to avoid the instructions of the Information Commissioner to release it?

The ‘last-minute revelations’ from the Risk Register should enable Coalition MPs to say with a reasonably straight face that they have taken on board the warnings alongside those of the Health Select Committee.

However without the publication of the Risk Register there is no plausible exit strategy for MPs who have ignored pressure to repeatedly vote for such a controversial Bill.

The EDM reads as follows on the UK parliament website:

That this House expects the Government to respect the ruling by the Information Commissioner and to publish the risk register associated with the Health and Social Care Bill reforms in advance of Report Stage in the House of Lords in order to ensure that it informs that debate.

The details of this EDM are as follows. As you will see, despite the problems with the parliamentary system of whipping allowing the Liberal Democrats to stand up for the views on the NHS, a number of Liberal Democrat MPs have indeed put their name down.

At the time of publication, the following MPs had signed up:


Name Party Constituency Date Signed
Campbell, Ronnie Labour Party Blyth Valley 01.02.2012
Caton, Martin Labour Party Gower 31.01.2012
Clark, Katy Labour Party North Ayrshire and Arran 31.01.2012
Connarty, Michael Labour Party Linlithgow and East Falkirk 02.02.2012
Corbyn, Jeremy Labour Party Islington North 31.01.2012
Crockart, Mike Liberal Democrats Edinburgh West 02.02.2012
Cunningham, Alex Labour Party Stockton North 02.02.2012
Dobbin, Jim Labour Party Heywood and Middleton 31.01.2012
Durkan, Mark Social Democratic and Labour Party Foyle 31.01.2012
Gapes, Mike Labour Party Ilford South 02.02.2012
George, Andrew Liberal Democrats St Ives 30.01.2012
Hancock, Mike Liberal Democrats Portsmouth South 30.01.2012
Hopkins, Kelvin Labour Party Luton North 30.01.2012
Lavery, Ian Labour Party Wansbeck 01.02.2012
Leech, John Liberal Democrats Manchester Withington 30.01.2012
McCrea, Dr William Democratic Unionist Party South Antrim 01.02.2012
Meale, Alan Labour Party Mansfield 31.01.2012
Mearns, Ian Labour Party Gateshead 30.01.2012
Morris, Grahame M Labour Party Easington 30.01.2012
Mulholland, Greg Liberal Democrats Leeds North West 30.01.2012
Osborne, Sandra Labour Party Ayr Carrick and Cumnock 02.02.2012
Pugh, John Liberal Democrats Southport 01.02.2012
Rogerson, Dan Liberal Democrats North Cornwall 02.02.2012
Shannon, Jim Democratic Unionist Party Strangford 31.01.2012
Sharma, Virendra Labour Party Ealing Southall 30.01.2012
Sheridan, Jim Labour Party Paisley and Renfrewshire North 02.02.2012
Skinner, Dennis Labour Party Bolsover 31.01.2012
Vaz, Valerie Labour Party Walsall South 30.01.2012
Wright, Iain Labour Party Hartlepool 02.02.2012

For an excellent article from Thursday on this, please refer to Eoin’s blog here.

Andrew Lansley has concealed a ‘risk report’ that has examined the potential dangers of his NHS Bill. He simply refuses to publish it. I am told that the reason for this is that the report contains a very serious warning about the long term damage the bill will do to the NHS. The chief warning in the report is that Lansley’s reforms will spark a surge in health care costs and that the NHS will become unaffordable as private profiteers siphon off money for their own benefit. The report specifically warns that GPs have no experience or skills to manage costs effectively.  The profit element contained in Lansley’s reforms is the chief reason for the report citing these worries. This is the reason Lansley refuses to publish the report, because he has claimed that his bill will make costs in the NHS more affordable. This flaw in the bill if exposed would undermine his entire argument and it is the reason the report will not be published until the bill becomes law. But you can help prevent that. Labour Left Chairperson & Labour MP Grahame Morris has tabled an early day motion to force Lansley to publish the report. Please help ensure that your MP does their bit to support the motion. Democracy & transparency must prevail.

Please comment there if you would like to raise your concerns.

Why the NHS Health and Social Care Bill doesn’t make sense to me



This post is inspired by brief discussions I’ve had with Sunny Hundal where Sunny asked me lots of questions I couldn’t answer!

 

Of course, Labour is clear that they oppose the NHS Health and Social Care Bill. What they had not been clear to me about is why they oppose it, though I am very grateful to Sunny Hundal for pointing me in the direction of the ‘Drop the Bill’ website which establishes five important alleged concerns of the Bill: postcode lottery, longer waiting times, privatisation, damaged doctor-patient relationship, and waste.

Labour and supporters bandy around the statement ‘It is privatising the NHS’. This is indeed a very good way of looking at it, as the fundamental thesis is that there will be a greater role for the private sector in the provision of health services for England.  To ignore the existing contribution of the private sector in the NHS is complete nonsense, however. NHS budgets operate millions of pounds, and the private sector is clearly involved. Most people in the general public have heard of NHS procurement, or “NHS logistics”; many people, in both the private and public  sector are somehow enmeshed in the NHS ‘supply chain’. In fact, at least with privatisation, according to the aspiration of Baronesss Thatcher, there is public ownership of the infrastructure. The worrying aspect here is that NHS entities can be bought by hedge funds or even foreign investors, as part of a multinational investment, and indeed Ed Miliband might be right after all – corporate entities might wish to sell bits off the NHS ‘for a quick buck’ in his much derided speech on corporate social responsibility last year. There is as such not illegal, but many will not agree with this sensitive corporate handling of key infrastructure assets.

A more mature intelligent debate is to consider why precisely the NHS Health and Social Care Bill does not make sense. It firmly places the NHS in private hands, and it is worth scrutinising carefully at this point what the legal entity of the NHS Trust is.

If it is a private limited company under law, it is under legal obligation to maximise shareholder dividend, and the question then becomes who exactly are the shareholders, and how will their profits from NHS patients be used? One assumes that NHS Trusts will be subject to all aspects of company law, such as insolvency law and competition law inter alia. How is competition going to work? And are entities going to offer products or services that are ‘profitable’? What about dementia, for example? I am worried about the fact that this could lead to major imbalances in service provision at both primary care level and in NHS Trusts. How is the Tory-led Government going to ensure that apples are not unfairly compared to bananas in this new free market of the NHS? This involves a complex understanding of how products and services are going to be costed in the new NHS; will they be simply the cost of providing the products or services, or will some corporate entities wish to undercut other suppliers by ‘penetration pricing'; or will some suppliers price themselves at a high price to denote high brand value, for example for ‘the best hip operation in town’? For that matter, how does the Bill deal with measuring benefits and outcomes for the patient, rather than the corporate supplier?

I believe strongly that we will almost have to invent a new entity in law to cover NHS trusts, if it is not the private limited company or charity under the Companies Act or Charities Act. I do not feel that such strategic change will succeed in management for one clear reason, anyway. In any such rushed strategic change, you must have follower support; so even if the LibDems in the lower and upper Houses act as the lubricant for the Conservative engine in allowing this Bill a clear path to Royal Assent, the implementation of the NHS Bill will almost certainly fail due to lack of support from many GPs, the Royal Colleges, many other health staff, and most importantly the patient. I also feel that, in management, it is going to impossible to implement such organisational structural and cultural change in such a hurry.

Calling the BMA a ‘trade union’ itself is not a trivial point. Trade Unions protect the rights of employees rather than shareholders (unless stakeholders are also shareholders), and therefore if the NHS Bill is enacted without key stakeholder support it will fail. This is because the members of this trade union are not involved in the strategic change process at all well, and feel it is being inflicted without their consent. They also will have much tacit implicit knowledge about the NHS, as well as codified principles, which will be harder to shift without specialist change managers.

However, there is no doubt that somebody does need to look at the management structure of the NHS, which is why I should rather Labour has a constructive input into the debate, on behalf of public sector workers, and if it decides it wishes for blanket obstruction, it should consider urgently an alternative, because it is currently the case there are parts of the NHS which are financial disaster zones. Furthermore, the NHS does not always work well; very many nurses work with poor pay and conditions, but stories about suboptimal care unfortunately do rumble on (especially in elderly care). Finally, there is a strong part of me that believes in a system where we all share risk in a National Health Service by paying a contribution – this is where reform of the tax system is vital, as the NHS is currently paid for out of income tax mainly to my knowledge. If private enterprises are allowed wholly to run the NHS, it could be that the business entities which go out of business are those where there are particular ‘hotspots’ of disease due to an unfortunate combination of nature and nurture, for example chronic obstructive airways disease in coal miners in Wales, or high incidence of cardiovascular disease in Bengali immigrants in Tower Hamlets. Health inequalities are a serious problem for medical care, and replacement of the NHS with increased private input for entities to run at a profit would be a serious threat to that.

That’s the sort of debate I wish for why I oppose the NHS Health and Social Care Bill. And what about Dilnot also?

 

This is a personal view of @legalaware, and does not represent the views of the BPP Legal Awareness Society, nor of BPP.

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